Ukraine's population every year continues to decline steadily.To such a disappointing conclusion come by reading the next data of the State Statistics.Even in the second half of 2012, the population of Ukraine was approximately the same level, which was not observed for the past 19 years.
September 2012 even pleased with a slight increase, and the following month, in October, a similar situation was repeated again.However, experts of the State Statistics clarified that a plus Ukraine managed to largely due to foreign students who came to study in Russian universities, and people who came to the country in search of work.
The Institute of Demography and sociological research, experts believe that because of the baby-boom, which in the 80s of the last century experienced Ukraine, the population received some positive trend, which, apparently, is just coming to an end.
Svetlana Aksenov, a senior fellow of department of quality problems demographic processes, explained that today give birth to children, those who are born during the baby boom.Wave itself due to the propensity of women fertility offspring start later than normal age of a few stretches.In addition, Ukrainian women were more likely to think about a second child.But sooner or later the baby boom is over, come all born in the 90s.And while the birth rate was low ... So even if the generation of the 90s will actively have children, it still can not change the general trend, the population of Ukraine will continue to continue to decline.
According to demographers, the nation of Ukrainians continue to die.According to the long-term forecast up to 2061, already in 2017 the number of citizens will be a little less than 45 million, and after about 50 years in the country will be 37.5 million inhabitants.And that's not the most pessimistic assessment.In the worst case scenario, the population of Ukraine in general will be reduced to 28 million.However, migration undoubtedly will contribute to this scenario their adjustments.In Ukraine, will continue arriving migrants from less developed countries, so that the state is empty.
Naturally, demographers are not able to anticipate all factors that could affect their prognosis.No one can reliably predict war, natural disasters and other events that may affect the development of the demographic situation in a given country.However, if all factors and current trends continue, the forecast value will be very close to the actual figures.
The dynamics of the birth rate will vary depending on the region.So, in the western regions is projected positive growth.This is due to the fact there are more Ukrainians are less religious and decide about abortion.Also living in the western regions largely rural population, which is aimed at families with many children.In the east, urban living people who rarely create a family where more than two children.
last year also showed positive growth Kharkiv (2.2 thous.) And Odessa (7 thousand.) Area.This is due to the effect of the same baby-boom '80s.On March 1, 2013 the population of Ukraine decreased to 45 million 529 thousand, which is 9.7 thousand less than in February of the same year.
