Fierce frosts: Myth or Reality?

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Perhaps among his contemporaries is impossible to find a man who would never have heard of the Epiphany frosts.By the calendar they are the same from January 19 - the Orthodox holiday of Epiphany, which value is equal to the Passover and is considered one of the most important and the most ancient.

Traditions and signs

And the believers, despite the sharp and significant cooling accompany the festivities of bathing in the sanctified Jordan-hole.This atmospheric phenomenon has given rise to a lot of people's will.According to the observations of ancestors, thaw, fog and frost on the Baptism interpreted as favorable signs of the harvest of grain, peas, and when winter Bitter cold it snowed, it was believed that crap freak.It is also believed that if the frost at Epiphany Christmas is much stronger and lasts all week, then they will be replaced after a week of thaw, but then will be cold, even more severe, but the last of the current winter.

Causes and effects

From a scientific point of view, the term "frosts" is questioned, since, according to long-term observations meteorologists, cold does not always fall on the 19th of January.Sometimes frosty weather set long before the designated date and sometimes much later.These terms have a significant "gap" in the extent of up to two weeks.Still, most people think that the cooling is connected with baptism.It is definitely a psychological factor.A few cases when the appointed date thaw began, and a decrease in temperature occurred much later.But people still argued that the court lyutuyut frosts.The population is easier to write off all the mystique, as the townsfolk are eager to see the inexplicable and mysterious, where it is often not.This weather phenomenon is linked to the religious ideas that had long been firmly assimilated.

Hydrometeorology authorized to declare

Scientists owning reliable information on the average temperature statistics, the result is quite a scientific explanation of this atmospheric phenomenon.The fact that most of the Eurasian weather during the second half of January determines Asian anticyclone which prevails for a period of two weeks and leads to a drastic decrease in temperature.Say for sure when the winter frost clear up in full force, it is impossible, from a scientific point of view, there is no drop in temperature, which falls exactly on the 19th of January.And if the weather lyutuet little earlier, starting from January 13, people will say that this year's frosts - early, and if after 25 - argue that this year they later.Science, however, is people's representation is not supported, because due to the variability of the traffic flows of air masses in the atmosphere that generates turbulence, weather is positioned as a random process.Therefore, any forecast is possible only with a small probability.No reduction in the temperature or duration of the frost period can not be the same in different years.The spread is more than a week.

What frosts after Epiphany?

So vagaries of weather data - this is a purely psychological and artificially created folk binding to an outstanding religious date, since they are not the only ones.After all, other than those mentioned above, there are Christmas and Timofeevskaya and Nikopol and Sretensky frost.Moreover, religious holidays, and weather patterns may be different also because between the famous winter celebrations such as Christmas, Epiphany, Timothy, about the same time period of 2 weeks.And the cyclones and anticyclones rampaging only a week, because these atmospheric phenomena, and not the date on the calendar represent a falling temperature.Here they are - Epiphany frosts!