collapse of the USSR, which was originally held peacefully enough, has led to the appearance on the territory of the vast country of many "hot spots".Interethnic conflicts quickly suppressed by the Soviet authorities to use all the means of the state apparatus, was suddenly no one to "extinguish", in fact, their main source - the movement and the party of nationalist sense - many of the newly formed countries became part of the political system and a stronghold of statehood.After the tragic events in Nagorno-Karabakh, Abkhazia, Transnistria, Tajikistan, Chechnya, Dagestan, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan and many other post-Soviet regions, it was the turn of Ukraine.Here began the so-called "anti-terrorist operation" unprecedented in its scale, which may be eclipsed many local wars of the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries.
Background
Ukraine divided historically for leadership in the different regions of political and historical sympathies.However, besides the "Bandera" and "vatnicheskoy" ideologies, there are economic factors that influence the course of the further development of the state.President Yanukovych, recognizing this fact, hesitated, choosing the motion vector of the country entrusted to him.The task he had uneasy: should determine that it is cheaper in the macroeconomic sense - the aspiration to the West, promising a very distant prospect initiation to the mystery for many citizens of Ukraine "European values", or a very real commercial and industrial co-operation with the Russian Federation.Complicates the choice is also extremely stringent conditions, given the EU: "In two chairs sit impossible, and whoever is not with us is against us!" In the end, Viktor Yanukovych fell into confusion, force applied against the well-organized Maidan did not dare, and has beenoverthrown.
Home
claim that the Donetsk and Lugansk had for his dismissal and fled to the president any tender sympathy, can only be extremely naive observer.However, the very fact that came to power by representatives of only one political force sees no need to listen to other opinions, it caused some murmurs.After separation of the Crimea and its entry into the Russian Federation there was a precedent heralding the imminent and complete collapse of the country.April 7 began anti-terrorist operation in the east of Ukraine.The name of this military action implied the creation of a certain image of the enemy.And the soldiers and their own people and the international community instills the idea that the fight to be with a few groups of mercenaries and bandits, most of which came from over the Russian border.In this case the expected victory guaranteed, fast and almost bloodless.Very soon, every sober man with a penchant for the analysis of the events, began to realize the error of (at best) or crime (at worst) an approach to settle conflicts, to recognized the ICRC "non-international".
question the legitimacy of the anti-terrorist operation was announced by the Acting President of Ukraine Turchinov.He and his colleagues came to power just about as legitimately as the Bolshevik Party in 1917.The country suffered a coup, called revolution, but has its main feature - the change of socio-economic structure.The document, signed by Acting President, in its title contains the expression "consolidation", "cessation of confrontation" and points directly to the place where there was a major threat to the new government: Donetsk and Lugansk regions.Much of the population expected the elections, in which people will be able to elect a legitimate president, expressing at least to some degree their views.
ATO after elections
choice was rather poor.Navigate to those who came to the sections on May 25 had on the appearance of the candidates and the reputation that they could acquire for his previous career.Take part in the plebiscite, the citizens of the majority considered the most a good-looking image of Peter Poroshenko, pinning hopes on his common sense and business prospective approach to resolving the armed conflict.Optimistic expectations are not met, the antiterrorist operation continued with even greater ferocity.
doubtful success
poor state of the armed forces of Ukraine is inseparably linked with the economic situation of the country.Despite efforts to maintain morale and the natural superiority of firepower and amount of equipment over the host of the regular army, the successes are sporadic, and losses exceed all conceivable norms.Number of aircraft shot down long ago is calculated double-digit, and burned through the armor is not conducted for a long time.On the loss of personnel to the population of Ukraine has to be judged by circumstantial evidence, they are hidden and underreported.Civilians are killed, about one thousand recognized as innocent victims (including children), and how many of them actually - is difficult to determine.Bombing and shelling destroyed houses and social facilities.A general trend to the fact that anti-terrorist operation in the Donetsk region is becoming increasingly punitive.However, in the Luhansk too.
Prospects
Chechen war has been a terrible shock for Russia.Approximately one percent of the population of the world's largest country turned out to be dissatisfied with the existing economic and political situation, much of it has been configured to secede from the Russian Federation.Ukrainian anti-terrorist operation conducted in a much more critical.Disagreement with the domestic and foreign policy of the current leadership in varying degrees, expresses a large part of the people, and in a combat zone lives of 4 to 5 percent of the population, while the resource base Ukrainian immeasurably poorer.Soldiers who fought for the unity of the country, lack of everything from body armor to the notorious food.Announced a new mobilization.How long it will last anti-terrorist operation?Russia takes refugees and their hundreds of thousands ...
