question of whether the crisis in Russia, which recently sounded very often exhausted.He is.The system, with all the attributes and negative dynamics of indicators of economic development.The next logical question: "What to do in a crisis and how long it will last?"Experts' opinions on this issue are different.As assessment of the situation.As ambiguous everything: the geopolitical situation and the state of the economy, and suggested ways out of the critical situation.
therefore legitimate to approach when accounted authoritative opinions, not only domestic experts.The diversity of the information necessary to be able to develop the ability to quickly filter and receive the information that is based on facts, logic and common sense.We will try to understand the nature of the crisis and to answer old questions that arise in the new historical realities.
origin of the term
crisis (Greek κρίσις - decision, a turning point), a condition characterized by a mismatch of form and content of any social phenomenon, and requires an immediate solution.Depending on the nature of the social crisis can be:
- economic;
- social;
- financial;
- demographic.
crisis can be classified on the scale, level, other parameters.In the article the subject of analysis is the social nature of the phenomenon.
crisis has historically developed in the jurisprudence of the period of antiquity and is the actual conduct of the trial.In terms of content means watershed condition of a process, which requires new forms and methods for further development.Socio-economic crisis in Russia, which currently characterizes the state of society, unlimited single country.Moreover, the current crisis, for example, goes far beyond a particular social institution.According to experts, it is complex, affects the structure of government, the economy, the financial institution is related to the geopolitical situation of the country.In order to assess what is happening will try to uncover the economic nature of the social phenomenon.
economic crisis
One of the basic terms, if we talk about the economic characteristics of the society, is production.The sequence of historical forms of production studied economic history.The modern approach in production, consumption and distribution of the social product can be analyzed in different paradigms, that is, knowledge systems with given vectors.It is therefore advisable to speak about a particular model of economic production and the inherent economic indicators, the status markers.
To understand what is the economic crisis in Russia, the reasons which led to it, you need to evaluate the current economic model.But it is quite difficult to do.It is called "departure" from the model of state regulation.It is stated only the presence of the model in the past.Currently Russia is most often referred to as a "primary production" and indicates a direct dependence of the economy on oil prices in the world market.If there is no specific model, we restrict certain indicators.Economic markers of modern Russia:
- decline in GDP;
- curtailment of production;
- care from state regulation model;
- dependence of the economy on the raw material prices (oil);
- mass export of capital abroad;
- significant influence of foreign capital in the banking sector.
to designate the model of the economy, must be defined the direction vector: a strategy, basic values on which it is based, and substantive components, including some models of ideology.At the moment, they are not.Russia's economy is marked in the '90s of the last century as a rejection of the previous development model has remained essentially transitional.Why is gone, it is clear - from the state socialist system of regulation.Where is she going?It remains a mystery even to the initiated.Karl Marx called this state of "loss of the old world without gaining new."
Social metamorphosis
economy is impossible to distinguish from other forms of social life.The crisis in Russia is manifested in all social institutions.This is supported by the facts on the number of bankruptcies of big business and the significant reduction in the segment of small and medium-sized businesses.
Because of innovations in the field of taxation for 2013 the number of individual entrepreneurs has decreased by almost half.The very business activity has not disappeared, but has changed the way of existence.The share of the shadow economy, which also affected the state budget.
license of the bank and the financial crisis in Russia, manifested itself in August 2013 became the real indicators of the beginning of a systemic crisis.In the social sphere - an increase of debt to pay wages and rising unemployment.
These factors have not yet acquired a mass character.But social tensions manifest.That is why there was the adoption of the law on bankruptcy of physical persons.For seven and a half years he was under consideration.And now urgently introduced not in 2016, as previously assumed, but six months earlier, in the summer of 2015. As a critical mass of the insolvent population reached its borders and this could lead to another social crisis.
consequences of the collapse of Ukraine as one of the causes of social tension.Diversion of funds from the budget, funding for the resettlement of refugees and support for investment in the economy of Crimea - all this is a good resource perspective.However, this requires the involvement of significant reserves.
Every crisis has its historic character
Each of the periods has the same problem and the dynamics of meaning, but different historical characteristics.The crisis in Russia in 1998 led to a technical default.Failure to fulfill obligations under the federal loan bonds and state treasury bonds has led to a loss of confidence on the part of both external and domestic creditors.The national currency for the first time dramatically lost its weight, more than tripled relative to the dollar.It was the most difficult period of economic downturn.The consequences were quite tough.The high level of criminalization of society and the ways of the wild formation of the initial capital have characterized this period.
crisis in Russia in 2008 manifested itself in financial and economic sphere.This stage revealed the degree of dependence of the Russian financial system on foreign capital.There was the bankruptcy of large banks.The real estate market collapsed, followed by the stagnation of the construction market.The decline has been associated with a collapse in the mortgage system in the world.
manifest as banking crisis in Russia has provoked instability and the ensuing recession in all social spheres.The outflow of deposits in financial institutions in just one month resulted in a reduction of funds in the accounts of individuals more than fifty billion rubles.
crisis in Russia and ways
Because, as it turned out earlier, is a critical state in which you need to make decisions quickly and to seek new ways to meet the needs of reality, it remains to understand what those quick decisions?
number of proposals and new approaches to development strategy contained in the traditional annual address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian President Vladimir Putina.V his speech the characteristic of the economic condition of the country, set out a strategy for further development of the theses.And in the conditions when the crisis in Russia has declared itself in full, performance can be considered as options for exit.In particular, the following measures are proposed:
- expansion of economic space, participation in the Eurasian project;
- import substitution goods export products;
- production support;
- development of the Far East region;
- output within three years on the performance of production, superior performance sredneekonomicheskie the world market;
- creation of industrial production;
- capital amnesty offshore zones;
- financial support for non-extractive industries.
Speech by the President and the subsequent press conference, which discussed in detail the moments that caused the interest of the public, showed the willingness of the Russian government on the concentration of resources and a radical breakthrough in the country's economy.The breakthrough to a new level of organization of society and the search for resources within the country rather than abroad.
Crimea crisis Khodorkovsky
modern age can be described as a search for his model of development of society as a whole.The recent crisis in Russia requires special control measures.This is due to the political balance of power at the present stage.The complicated situation is amplified by economic sanctions from the US and Europe, who are not interested in the economic sense for either of the parties of economic confrontation.
main reason - the global crisis.In Russia, the emphasis is on the development of the Crimea, and the inclusion of an independent state in the economic cooperation with Russia.Strengthening of the Russian Federation does not meet the interests of a number of states, which is why in the application of sanctions is easy to read an attempt to weaken Russia's influence in the global economic space.The famous oligarch Khodorkovsky noted the folly of the authors of "alienation" of the Russian community.Russia is ready to negotiate and resolve conflicts, provoking a political crisis.In Russia, we are ready for a constructive dialogue.Lee said of this West?
Euro creeps, the ruble falls, Russia will break
freedom movements of currency indicators orgy of exchange rates, which oversees the entire world, reveals the real situation.Experts in economics, politics, strategy - everyone is trying to assess the situation.Moreover, different forms, from political PR astrologers to forecast.Recognition of the fact that some of the leaders of "guessing" in the course of the last months of the year, no one becomes easier.As it is not a confirmation of economic competence of the predictors.
It is clear that the actions of the White House can be traced not only an attempt to weaken Russia economically, but also lead to a state of panic, and the imbalance in the society.The social crisis in Russia, which is expected by the artificial complications and the already difficult situation in the country, may subsequently have the opposite result.The economic collapse of Russia, which is waiting for "customers" will not take place at least for the reason that the potential of the state is far from exhausted.Russian resources lies in the ability to find a solution not outside, but within their own country and make another breakthrough, which corresponds to the scale of the Russian space.
strange paradox
Russian unpredictable country.Most resource its condition manifests itself in the resistance to the crisis.The tougher the situation, the more out of it.This is confirmed by the words and the position of the President of Russia Vladimir Putin during the press conference following the address to the Federal Assembly.He predicts the possibility to overcome the crisis in Russia for two years, and that in the worst case scenario.
attempt to address the situation provoked by external and internal factors in favor of their country worthy of respect.Speech by President Putin at a press conference on December 18, 2014 showed that Russia does not concentrate on the search for ways out of the crisis.This narrow understanding of the situation.The country is changing strategy so as to make a qualitative leap, and at their own opportunities to take on the economic indicators, which are higher than the world average.
resource potential of Russia
latest crisis in Russia has created a situation of economic isolation from the old Europe.Under these conditions, the possibility of leaving the critical situation had to look without waiting for outside support.In order not to burden itself with the question whether a new crisis in Russia, it is necessary here and now to create the preconditions of a healthy economy.And for that, the country has all opportunities:
- agricultural sector has shown growth this year of 5 per cent, attracted a record supply of cereals;
- Russia has increased its resources due to the Crimea;
- EU sanctions dictated strict conditions for the development of its own industrial production, which is the shortest and surest way to stabilize the economy;
- shift to "eastern" scenario under the sanctions given the intensive development of the Eurasian industrial complex.
Philosophy crisis
crisis ─ is the natural state of all living matter.Any development reaches a limit in a certain historical phase dynamics.This is a condition where the optimal goal is realized in the form of reality.Moment of external prosperity poses a threat to this state.Why is that?Because in the case of successful development stops search for the best options and immediately comes does not meet the development of life forms - static, stagnation, recession and many other forms of oppressive state.
first crisis in Russia at the turn of the century was only a hint of non-compliance of money to their quality.Money supply was not a consequence of the development of production.Infusions of foreign capital formed Russia's dependence on foreign investors.It's some form of lazy welfare.If its source is outside, then when any change in the situation is the well-being has no chance to survive.
Therefore, the crisis of 2008 was a call to an inefficient economy of Russia.According to well-known expert on the economy - Minister of Economic Development Mr. Ulyukayev, Russia is currently in a state of a triple crisis: the structural, economic and geopolitical.
Quite adequately assessing the condition of the Russian reality, Ulyukayev did not remove the responsibility for what happens with the ruling authorities.But does not support pessimistic expectations the collapse of the economy.
There is only one ingenious solution about how to overcome the crisis - to find sources of power within the country.And they are showing and the reality and history of the Russian state there in abundance.
