Today the problem of a possible recurrence of default of the situation in Russia is not only a source of concern for many investors, but also the ordinary citizens of the country.Events of 1998 were a great shock to everyone - they are largely devalued people's savings, reduced investor confidence in the economy.
the possibility of default in Russia is now being discussed on expert level and in the media.Not so long ago in Russia re-emerged prerequisites for the emergence of economic problems.This is explained by the significant increase in the dollar, high inflation, economic growth virtually invisible.The big problem was the pension issue - the aging of the population leads to the fact that soon the pension system will not be able to cope with the growing workload.
However, in the current situation that is waiting for Russia can be judged on the basis of world prices for oil and a number of other minerals.That raw materials bring the country's main income, and stable high prices in the market create confidence that the situation is out of control.Moreover, the large revenues form the basis for the creation of a stabilization fund, which can be used to solve problems in the economy.Despite all the difficulties, there is still no reason indicate the possibility of a default in Russia.2012 has been associated with such pessimistic expectations, but in the end they did not materialize.Most likely, this year, serious problems also arise.
main reason due to which a default could occur in Russia can be called unstable financial situation in Europe.Since the Russian Federation acting as a full participant in the global market, the negative trends in the economy of many countries in Europe have a negative impact on it.
other most likely cause that can cause default in Russia - the complexity of the US economy.A default can occur even in the United States, due to huge foreign debt, the more so that it continues to grow.The collapse of the US economy will inevitably hit worldwide.The justification may be invoked even allegations that the Russian economy from the US economy is essentially independent.Great dependence of Europe and to Europe from Russian close economic relationship.The outcome of the crisis in the US will fall in oil prices, and this is the main reason that can trigger a default in Russia.
Russia recently became a member of WTO, and it is said about the stability of the economic course of the country.In such a situation can only default of some large corporate companies - explained he volatility of the securities market and the significant amount of debt on loans.However, even such a situation will lead to corporate defaults only if global economic problems in the country.The default of 1998 was primarily the result of internal problems in Russia, but the new default, and if it takes place, to a greater extent will be caused by external adverse conditions.