Organization of primary production at the plant construction industry is largely dependent on the quality of the prediction of its investment activity.A number of factors and a lack of stability of the conditions that shaped the dynamics of its components make it difficult to establish an adequate mathematical function describing the tendency of indicators of investment activity of enterprises of the construction industry.
organization of production at enterprises of the sector on the basis of medium-term and long-term forecasting of indicators of investment companies is impossible on the basis of methods Holypa - Winters and Brown.
Organization of primary production and forecasting critical level of investment activity of the enterprise identify the functional dependence of the market value of a business entity
of its level of investment activity.Availability of this dependence indicates that the most significant factor in the increase or decrease in value of the company is to increase or decrease the activity of its investment activity, and thus, an indicator such as the organization of production at the enterprises of the industry.In turn, the decline in value of the company involves the loss of a competitive advantage in the market, falling its effectiveness and its reduction, ienow achieving financial crisis, and in some cases the loss of the advisability of conducting production and business activities.Here, the organization of production on industry enterprises assumes special significance prediction to anticipate quantitative changes of indicators of investment activity - activity index - and its structural performance and enabling in the process of planning future activities to identify measures to avoid or prevent unwanted dynamics of the activity of investment activities of a business entity, and withand the change in its market value.
necessary step in forecasting investment activity is to determine the critical level (threshold) of its investment activity (structural indicators) at which there are qualitative changes in the market value of a business entity, occurring during the transition of the enterprise as a system to a different path of development.This transition is accompanied by disturbances in the system or its destruction, ie,loss of stability.Instability of dynamical systems is the subject of the theory of catastrophes.
Because we identified direct dependence on the investment activity of the enterprise value of its assets becomes relevant question of investment activity with a view to improve.
Correlation and regression analysis showed that the index of investment activity, is an important characteristic of the investment activity of the enterprise, is most closely connected with the qualitative parameters of investment activities, such as investment management, quality of personnel, the level of creativity of the investment projects and technologies of their implementation.In addition, the organization of production at the enterprises of the sector in these conditions increases the value of the quality of the forecast, by which you can effectively manage not only the current level of technological development, but also at the level of strategic planning, bearing in mind the possibility of entering the foreign markets for construction services.
