exit poll (Eng. Exit poll) - literally "exit poll" (sometimes use "exit poll") - already used sociological services around the world.What is the exit polls?This procedure, which implies a survey of citizens when they go to the polling stations after the vote at any election.The results of the exit poll is widely used in the world of science sociology.
main tasks and history of the concept
What is the exit polls?This preparation is operational "predictions," the outcome of the elections and further accumulation of statistical data on the current electorate.Country where the exit poll data were used for the first time - the USA.Journalist William Mitofski the first time conducted a survey of people at the exit, when there were elections governor of Kentucky State in 1967. Since then, the concept of what is the exit poll, almost unchanged.And all this last election poll, more or less successfully applied!
In what sense?What is the exit polls?The procedure itself is as follows: leaving from the polling stations, fulfilled his duty interrogate citizens for whom they voted.Of course, this is on condition of anonymity.Assuming that the majority of voters no reason to answer untruthfully, data such surveys are used for reconciliation with the officially published version.On election day exit polls testify widely reported press and television.The results as typically manifest in the time portions are closed.
Recent developments
now widely used Internet technology - World Exit Poll.Thanks to the online development, having access to it citizens without leaving the house, again anonymously, for your own computer can always vote at the right time to establish a good ranking for almost every political and social activities.
functions
exit polls performs the basic functions - the information (which includes the pre-publicity on the results of the elections) and controls (which reduced to a minimum intentional distortion of election results).And to make the data more reliable, involved two (or more) companies with independent research network of interviewers.Samples poll also divided into two or more (depending on the number of companies) parts.Then the coincidence of these survey results is still one of the criteria for the quality of the data obtained.
why people do not trust?
Yet the results of these surveys are not intrinsically indicative of the population that often does not know what the exit polls.They actually only alert for one of the candidates cast their votes in the elections only the direct participants in the poll.And the results may differ from the results of the CEC.But, according to international practice to opinion polls, the exit poll data is likely to have a minor error compared to the actual results of the vote.
Results
There is also the opinion of the researchers, there is no reason to use exit polls to check on the honesty of elections.In the case where the main population trusts the very institution of elections, "exit poll" as the control of the results will simply not necessary.If such public confidence (or group of people) there is no such a poll is meaningless.As if the pro-government structures have been sufficient power and economic resources in order to massively rig the ballots and votes, and then simulate a positive exit poll will be a snap!However, without this socio-political procedures - the exit poll - none of today's election will not cost!
